December 15, 2009

First thoughts about Louisville

I figure the national champs have had a few weeks to bask in their glory, so it's about time to think about next year. Colorado Mines' Ben Zywicki is already moving on: He went head-to-head with Western State's Iain Donnan in an indoor 3,000 about two weeks after Evansville!
As mentioned before, the 2-4 placers in Evansville (Kirwa of Harding, Rop of American International and Sang of Abilene Christian) return next year.
The team race will be more fluid -- at least at this point.
  • Adams State graduates four of its top five.
  • Western State loses its top man, Donnan, but returns five.
  • Colorado Mines graduates no one.
  • Surprising Southern Indiana could be a good bet to improve on its sixth-place finish. They'll return All-Americans Dustin Emerick and Brendan Devine -- and six of seven.
  • Western Washington and Grand Valley State each lose only one of their top five.
  • On the downside, Chico loses three of its top five.
At this point, I'd put Western and Adams at even odds to win in Louisville next December. Western may have more returning with nationals experience, but Adams' 5-6-7 runners were swapped for nationals, an indication of their depth.
Anyone got any info on the race site, Sawyer State Park? From their Web site and Google street view, it looks like it'll be a tight, flat (and fast) course. If that's the case, I'll take Michael Crouch (Queens) right now.

3 comments:

  1. Mohr,

    Here are the top times from Tom Sawyer Park in the Ville.

    http://alltraxtiming.homestead.com/GLXC09_top20.htm

    As far as the course goes, it is pretty fast. If there is precipitation, it will get muddy and slow things up quite a bit.

    When looking at the top 20, keep in mind the NAIA guys that have ran there for nationals, etc. I think that should give you a nice barometer of what can be accomplished on this course.

    Having raced on/coached at/gotten knowledge of USI-Evansville IN, Griak, etc. I can say for certain that the times should be fast if the course is dry.

    Hope this helps,

    Dan Chelstrom

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  2. Dan,
    Now I remember that NAIAs were there. And yes, indeed, times look like they can be fast.
    Thanks for the info!

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  3. JM,

    Your welcome.

    Dan Chelstrom

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