Who'll win D2 nats?

I'll take my shot at it in the coming days. In order to limit my potential embarassment, I'll pick the top three (in order) in the 1,500, Steeplechase, 5,000 and 10,000. (Oh, to cover NAIA athletes: I could pick the 5k racewalk, 4x800 relay and marathon!)

My picks will be based on:

• Men's outdoor accepted list (I've got to assume whoever is on it, is runnin')
• Head-to-head competition, when applicable
  
• Indoor nationals results
  
• Recorded performance times
  
• Intangibles.
  

It all starts for distance running-lovers at 5:55 p.m. CDT Thursday with the 1,500 prelims. Please share your insights!